Image for The world will not stop warming

WHY IS IT that as the planet signals deep trouble with the system upon which humans have depended to support their activities, the focus of the media is on peripheral issues around rumours [McKim’s Senate bid].

Even with the illegal hacking of computer records [Climategate] and several minor errors found in the IPCC’s AR4, the science underpinning our understanding of the human impact on climate stability has not been found erroneous.

We are seeing the early fluxes of the changes that will follow; snow is delayed at the Winter Olympics following the same phenomenon in Scandinavia a year ago. Snowmageddon on the east coast of the Americas. It is this instability and extreme events that are the precursor notes, a tocsin we are apparently unwilling to hear.

The world will not stop warming and the changes associated with that will follow. We may contain the degree of warming and its rate but not the result.

Failure to act will only cause greater harm and therefore increased cost. Such failure condemns any party not offering a comprehensive program to make deep inroads into Tasmania’s greenhouse gas emissions.

Team Finds Subtropical Waters Flushing Through Greenland Fjord

ScienceDaily (Feb. 17, 2010) — Waters from warmer latitudes—or subtropical waters—are reaching Greenland’s glaciers, driving melting and likely triggering an acceleration of ice loss, reports a team of researchers led by Fiamma Straneo, a physical oceanographer from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution (WHOI).

“This is the first time we’ve seen waters this warm in any of the fjords in Greenland,” says Straneo. “The subtropical waters are flowing through the fjord very quickly, so they can transport heat and drive melting at the end of the glacier.”

Greenland’s ice sheet, which is two-miles thick and covers an area about the size of Mexico, has lost mass at an accelerated rate over the last decade. The ice sheet’s contribution to sea level rise during that time frame doubled due to increased melting and, to a greater extent, the widespread acceleration of outlet glaciers around Greenland.

While melting due to warming air temperatures is a known event, scientists are just beginning to learn more about the ocean’s impact—in particular, the influence of currents—on the ice sheet.

“Among the mechanisms that we suspected might be triggering this acceleration are recent changes in ocean circulation in the North Atlantic, which are delivering larger amounts of subtropical waters to the high latitudes,” says Straneo. But a lack of observations and measurements from Greenland’s glaciers prior to the acceleration made it difficult to confirm.

The research team, which included colleagues from University of Maine, conducted two extensive surveys during July and September of 2008, collecting both ship-based and moored oceanographic data from Sermilik Fjord—a large glacial fjord in East Greenland.

Sermilik Fjord, which is 100 kilometers (approximately 62 miles) long, connects Helheim Glacier with the Irminger Sea. In 2003 alone, Helheim Glacier retreated several kilometers and almost doubled its flow speed.

Deep inside the Sermilik Fjord, researchers found subtropical water as warm as 39 degrees Fahrenheit (4 degrees Celsius). The team also reconstructed seasonal temperatures on the shelf using data collected by 19 hooded seals tagged with satellite-linked temperature depth-recorders. The data revealed that the shelf waters warm from July to December, and that subtropical waters are present on the shelf year round.

“This is the first extensive survey of one of these fjords that shows us how these warm waters circulate and how vigorous the circulation is,” says Straneo.

“Changes in the large-scale ocean circulation of the North Atlantic are propagating to the glaciers very quickly—not in a matter of years, but a matter of months. It’s a very rapid communication.”

Straneo adds that the study highlights how little is known about ocean-glacier interactions, which is a connection not currently included in climate models.

“We need more continuous observations to fully understand how they work, and to be able to better predict sea-level rise in the future,” says Straneo.

The paper was chosen for advanced online publication Feb. 14, 2010, by Nature Geosciences; it will also appear in the March 2010 printed edition of the journal. Co-authors of the work include WHOI postdoc David Sutherland (now of University of Washington), Gordon Hamilton and Leigh Stearns of the Climate Change Institute, University of Maine, Fraser Davidson and Garry Stenson of the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, St. John’s, Newfoundland, Mike Hammill of the Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Mont-Joli, Quebec, and Aqqalu Rosing-Asvid of the Department of Birds and Mammals, Greenland Institute of Natural Resources. Canadian and Greenlandic colleagues contributed valuable data on the shelf, from tagged seals.

Funding for this research was provided by the National Science Foundation, WHOI’s Ocean and Climate Change Institute Arctic Research Initiative, and NASA’s Cryosperic Sciences Program


phill Parsons reminds readers that there is no clear process for predicting the arrival of turning points in the climate system. They could easily pass unnoticed until their results are upon us.

If you think this is scaremongering look at any time past when the climate changed how you would live with such changes.

Even Family First’s only Senator will have difficulty explaining this ‘devilry’.